Odds & payback

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The expected value and payback (RTP) of every case on the site, computed from the exact odds the server rolls against.

RTP · House + CS2

89.8 %

Cases

147

House edge

10.2 %

How the numbers are built

Every case splits 100 000 tickets between its items; an item's chance is its tickets ÷ 100 000. Expected value is the sum of every item's value × chance. RTP (return to player) is expected value ÷ price. Paid cases are built to about 90 % RTP, so on average about 10 % of what is spent stays with the house. Single openings vary a lot: averages only show over many thousands of opens.

Event cases are paid in gems (earned at one per coin spent), and daily and EXP cases are free, so they have no RTP; their expected value is shown instead. Every individual roll can be checked on the Provably fair page.

Case	Type	Price	Expected value	RTP	Items	Best drop
Knife Lair	House	150.00	134.99	90.0 %	24	1,021.49
Glove Den	House	120.00	108.00	90.0 %	24	936.09
Elder Dragon	House	100.00	89.98	90.0 %	26	9,931.60
Inferno	House	50.00	45.00	90.0 %	26	5,944.11
Hoard	House	25.00	22.50	90.0 %	26	2,594.64
Wyrm	House	10.00	9.00	90.0 %	26	2,067.74
Scale Hunter	House	5.00	4.50	90.0 %	26	933.04
Ember	House	2.50	2.25	90.0 %	26	210.01
Dragon Egg	House	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	26	207.34
Pocket Change	House	0.50	0.45	90.0 %	26	101.53
Gold	Special	200.00	179.98	90.0 %	24	9,768.69
Marble Fade	Special	170.00	152.99	90.0 %	26	1,967.58
Tiger Tooth	Special	140.00	125.99	90.0 %	22	1,317.64
Case Hardened	Special	130.00	116.98	90.0 %	32	5,087.97
Crimson Web	Special	110.00	99.00	90.0 %	32	31,284.83
Lore	Special	110.00	98.96	90.0 %	31	12,777.01
Fade	Special	96.00	86.38	90.0 %	30	3,441.33
Covert	Special	80.00	72.00	90.0 %	26	9,979.94
Asiimov	Special	62.00	55.80	90.0 %	22	543.10
Sapphire	Special	60.00	54.00	90.0 %	37	1,666.85
Printstream	Special	53.00	47.69	90.0 %	23	1,074.91
Hyper Beast	Special	39.00	35.10	90.0 %	22	1,063.68
Neo-Noir	Special	34.00	30.60	90.0 %	21	229.05
Dragon	Special	25.00	22.46	89.8 %	34	12,777.01
Classified	Special	8.00	7.20	90.0 %	26	2,233.74
Restricted	Special	3.00	2.70	90.0 %	26	296.26
Mil-Spec	Special	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	26	158.61
Dragon's Gambit	Best of	40.00	36.00	90.0 %	23	3,862.43
Knight's Oath	Best of	15.00	13.46	89.7 %	22	3,754.18
Ancient Pharaoh	Best of	12.00	10.80	90.0 %	23	1,195.27
Samurai Spirit	Best of	9.00	8.10	90.0 %	22	1,262.34
Lucky Sevens	Best of	7.77	6.99	90.0 %	23	2,876.42
Vault Job	Best of	5.00	4.50	90.0 %	20	431.11
Pirate Cove	Best of	4.20	3.78	90.0 %	23	646.56
Neon Nights	Best of	3.50	3.15	90.0 %	23	701.78
Street Kings	Best of	3.00	2.70	90.0 %	23	308.62
Frostbite	Best of	2.40	2.16	90.0 %	22	196.29
Apex Predator	Best of	2.00	1.80	90.0 %	23	330.57
Robo Riot	Best of	1.80	1.62	90.0 %	23	256.89
Toxic Waste	Best of	1.20	1.08	90.0 %	23	175.03
Candy Rush	Best of	0.80	0.72	90.0 %	22	111.13
Sandstorm Raider	Best of	0.60	0.54	90.0 %	22	280.31
Sky Pilots	Best of	0.45	0.40	88.9 %	23	31.71
Jungle Fever	Best of	0.35	0.31	88.6 %	23	154.07
Goblin Market	Best of	0.25	0.22	88.0 %	23	39.31
Reaper's Toll	Halloween	45.00	40.46	89.9 %	23	7,005.72
Phantom Manor	Halloween	30.00	26.99	90.0 %	21	9,768.69
Bone Collector	Halloween	18.00	16.20	90.0 %	22	1,304.08
Witch's Brew	Halloween	10.00	8.99	89.9 %	22	2,112.28
Grave Robber	Halloween	4.00	3.60	90.0 %	23	707.04
Pumpkin Patch	Halloween	1.50	1.35	90.0 %	22	549.85
Knife	Weapon	150.00	134.74	89.8 %	30	55,610.69
Gloves	Weapon	120.00	107.96	90.0 %	30	36,665.82
AWP	Weapon	7.00	6.30	90.0 %	29	12,777.01
AK-47	Weapon	5.00	4.48	89.6 %	29	2,520.38
M4A4	Weapon	5.00	4.47	89.4 %	29	9,225.83
M4A1-S	Weapon	5.00	4.50	90.0 %	29	6,688.26
Desert Eagle	Weapon	3.00	2.70	90.0 %	29	881.77
FAMAS	Weapon	3.00	2.70	90.0 %	28	147.66
USP-S	Weapon	2.50	2.25	90.0 %	29	757.09
Galil AR	Weapon	2.50	2.25	90.0 %	29	556.86
Glock-18	Weapon	2.00	1.80	90.0 %	29	2,067.74
P90	Weapon	2.00	1.80	90.0 %	29	680.19
SSG 08	Weapon	2.00	1.79	89.5 %	28	646.56
Five-SeveN	Weapon	1.50	1.35	90.0 %	29	1,063.68
CZ75-Auto	Weapon	1.50	1.35	90.0 %	29	285.10
MP9	Weapon	1.50	1.33	88.7 %	29	3,905.27
MAC-10	Weapon	1.50	1.35	90.0 %	29	266.78
P250	Weapon	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	29	788.36
Tec-9	Weapon	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	28	183.76
MP7	Weapon	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	28	72.90
UMP-45	Weapon	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	29	210.97
CS:GO Weapon Case	CS2	70.11	63.09	90.0 %	15	2,473.53
eSports 2013 Case	CS2	29.38	26.43	90.0 %	14	2,473.53
Operation Bravo Case	CS2	26.74	24.06	90.0 %	20	2,473.53
CS:GO Weapon Case 2	CS2	20.77	18.69	90.0 %	18	2,473.53
Operation Hydra Case	CS2	18.40	16.55	89.9 %	23	4,170.90
CS:GO Weapon Case 3	CS2	16.07	14.46	90.0 %	17	2,473.53
eSports 2013 Winter Case	CS2	11.74	10.56	89.9 %	17	2,473.53
Winter Offensive Weapon Case	CS2	11.14	10.02	89.9 %	18	2,473.53
eSports 2014 Summer Case	CS2	9.88	8.89	90.0 %	22	2,473.53
Huntsman Weapon Case	CS2	6.25	5.62	89.9 %	20	1,057.68
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case	CS2	5.88	5.29	90.0 %	20	2,473.53
Operation Broken Fang Case	CS2	4.96	4.46	89.9 %	23	595.90
Operation Riptide Case	CS2	4.59	4.13	90.0 %	23	1,942.11
Glove Case	CS2	3.99	3.59	90.0 %	23	4,170.90
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case	CS2	3.59	3.23	90.0 %	19	2,473.53
Operation Wildfire Case	CS2	3.58	3.22	89.9 %	22	206.39
Chroma Case	CS2	3.56	3.20	89.9 %	20	1,320.27
Shattered Web Case	CS2	3.40	3.06	90.0 %	23	638.20
Operation Breakout Weapon Case	CS2	3.06	2.75	89.9 %	20	2,323.34
Falchion Case	CS2	2.53	2.28	90.1 %	22	208.63
Gamma Case	CS2	2.16	1.94	89.8 %	23	3,065.40
Spectrum Case	CS2	2.16	1.94	89.8 %	23	2,061.72
Chroma 2 Case	CS2	2.08	1.86	89.4 %	21	1,320.27
Revolver Case	CS2	2.08	1.87	89.9 %	23	2,473.53
Gamma 2 Case	CS2	1.91	1.72	90.1 %	23	3,065.40
Horizon Case	CS2	1.84	1.65	89.7 %	23	971.94
Chroma 3 Case	CS2	1.79	1.60	89.4 %	23	1,320.27
Prisma Case	CS2	1.71	1.54	90.1 %	23	2,594.64
Prisma 2 Case	CS2	1.71	1.54	90.1 %	23	2,594.64
Shadow Case	CS2	1.66	1.49	89.8 %	22	201.79
Spectrum 2 Case	CS2	1.65	1.48	89.7 %	23	2,061.72
CS20 Case	CS2	1.55	1.39	89.7 %	23	272.35
Gallery Case	CS2	1.38	1.24	89.9 %	23	168.11
Snakebite Case	CS2	1.27	1.14	89.8 %	23	595.90
Danger Zone Case	CS2	1.23	1.10	89.4 %	23	971.94
Clutch Case	CS2	0.92	0.82	89.1 %	23	423.16
Fever Case	CS2	0.59	0.52	88.1 %	23	636.14
Recoil Case	CS2	0.52	0.46	88.5 %	23	595.90
Fracture Case	CS2	0.51	0.46	90.2 %	23	638.20
Dreams & Nightmares Case	CS2	0.49	0.44	89.8 %	23	1,942.11
Revolution Case	CS2	0.42	0.37	88.1 %	23	423.16
Kilowatt Case	CS2	0.38	0.34	89.5 %	23	168.11
MLG Columbus 2016 Legends (Holo/Foil)	Stickers	31.66	28.49	90.0 %	11	96.20
MLG Columbus 2016 Challengers (Holo/Foil)	Stickers	29.47	26.52	90.0 %	10	82.19
ESL One Cologne 2014 Legends	Stickers	18.16	16.34	90.0 %	6	119.14
Solar Stickers	Stickers	9.00	8.10	90.0 %	23	2,807.40
Katowice 2019 Returning Challengers (Holo/Foil)	Stickers	6.66	5.99	89.9 %	8	10.67
Katowice 2019 Legends (Holo/Foil)	Stickers	5.68	5.11	90.0 %	11	11.09
Ruby Stickers	Stickers	4.30	3.87	90.0 %	16	19.77
Katowice 2019 Minor Challengers (Holo/Foil)	Stickers	4.22	3.80	90.0 %	15	19.57
Ember Stickers	Stickers	3.00	2.70	90.0 %	23	422.97
Venom Stickers	Stickers	2.90	2.60	89.7 %	17	8.93
Stockholm 2021 Challengers Sticker Capsule	Stickers	2.50	2.25	90.0 %	16	12.12
Stockholm 2021 Legends Sticker Capsule	Stickers	2.00	1.80	90.0 %	19	4.51
Shanghai 2024 Legends Sticker Capsule	Stickers	1.81	1.63	90.1 %	15	32.53
Amethyst Stickers	Stickers	1.80	1.62	90.0 %	23	254.21
Copenhagen 2024 Contenders Sticker Capsule	Stickers	1.51	1.35	89.4 %	17	8.08
Sticker Capsule 2	Stickers	1.48	1.33	89.9 %	15	371.49
Riptide Surf Shop Sticker Collection	Stickers	1.46	1.31	89.7 %	28	19.77
Community Sticker Capsule 1	Stickers	1.23	1.11	90.2 %	6	35.03
10 Year Birthday Sticker Capsule	Stickers	1.19	1.07	89.9 %	16	7.03
Halo Capsule	Stickers	1.07	0.96	89.7 %	7	3.10
Frost Stickers	Stickers	1.00	0.90	90.0 %	23	217.35
Stockholm 2021 Contenders Sticker Capsule	Stickers	0.99	0.89	89.9 %	17	29.15
Hoard Keeper	Event	280	11.19	—	14	997.63
Fire Wyrm	Event	125	5.00	—	14	529.15
Ember Egg	Event	55	2.20	—	14	187.22
Spark	Event	15	0.60	—	14	67.53
Level 5 Case	EXP	Free	0.20	—	13	6.21
Level 10 Case	EXP	Free	0.40	—	13	24.05
Level 20 Case	EXP	Free	1.00	—	13	52.31
Level 30 Case	EXP	Free	2.00	—	13	67.18
Level 40 Case	EXP	Free	3.50	—	13	137.39
Level 50 Case	EXP	Free	6.00	—	13	357.63
Daily Case	Daily	Free	0.10	—	13	11.65